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Basketball betting has become a staple of the online gambling scene in the Philippines, and MostBet sits at the centre of that activity. The platform accepts Philippine‑peso deposits, offers a 50 % welcome bonus up to PHP 12,000, and displays live odds for both the PBA (Philippine Basketball Association) and the NBA. While the excitement of a last‑second three‑pointer captures most bettors’ attention, the real profit driver lies in how the bookmaker treats the extra minutes when a game goes beyond regulation time.
MostBet follows the common industry practice of including overtime in the final score unless the market description states otherwise. This rule applies to the three core basketball markets: the money‑line, the point spread, and the totals (over/under). When a PBA game finishes 98‑95 after a single overtime period, the money‑line result is recorded as a 98‑95 win, and any spread bet that referenced “+3.5” will be settled on that final figure.
The Philippine Amusement and Gaming Corporation (PAGCOR) requires all licensed operators to disclose how extra periods affect bet settlement. MostBet complies by adding a short note beneath each market line, typically reading “Final score includes overtime” or “Excludes overtime – settlement on regulation time”. Ignoring these notices can turn a seemingly safe bet into an unexpected loss, especially in tightly contested matches where a single extra point decides the outcome.
Key markets influenced by overtime
- Money‑line – final score always includes OT unless noted
- Point spread – same rule as the money‑line
- Totals – often include OT, but some promotions list “Regulation total only”
Understanding these nuances is the first step toward protecting your PHP bankroll and exploiting the occasional promotional edge that MostBet offers on games with a high likelihood of overtime.
When you open a PBA or NBA fixture on MostBet, the odds themselves are only part of the story. Directly under the numeric line sits a market description that clarifies the settlement method. For a PBA match, you may see:
“Manila Stars +6.5 (Regulation time only).”
In contrast, an NBA entry could read:
“Los Angeles Lakers –4.0 (Final score includes overtime).”
These brief statements are the only official source for overtime policy on that specific line. Missing them leads to costly misinterpretations, especially when the bookmaker releases special promotions that deliberately exclude overtime to attract high‑volume bettors.
To make sure you never overlook the description, follow these steps:
MostBet’s mobile app mirrors the desktop layout, but the description appears as a pop‑up window when you tap the odds. The phrasing stays consistent across all sports, so once you master the pattern for basketball, you can apply it to football, cricket, and even esports markets.
Paying attention to these small text blocks also protects you from duplicate promotions. For example, during the 2023‑2024 NBA season, MostBet ran a “No OT – Double Odds” campaign on selected games. If you placed a bet without noticing the “Regulation only” tag, you would have missed out on the doubled payout.
Three quick checks before you stake
• Verify the presence of an asterisk (*) – it often signals a special rule.
• Confirm the time reference (Regulation vs. Final).
• Cross‑reference with the official league schedule to spot potential overtime days.
By treating the description as an integral part of the odds, mostbet aviator lets you turn a simple price into a fully informed betting decision.
MostBet provides a “Betting Rules” page that aggregates the general policies for all sports. However, the rule can vary by market within the same sport. To determine whether overtime is factored in for a particular PBA or NBA line, combine the following verification methods:
A concrete example from the 2024 PBA Commissioner’s Cup illustrates the nuance:
| Game | Market | Odds | Overtime Policy | Settlement Example |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavitary vs Meralco | Money‑line | 1.90 | Final score includes OT | Meralco wins 108‑106 (OT) → payout to Meralco |
| Cavitary vs Meralco | Totals 215.5 | 1.95 | Regulation only | Final total 215 (including OT) → bet wins because regulation total was 211 |
| Lakers vs Bucks | Point spread –4.0 | 1.88 | Final score includes OT | Lakers win 112‑108 (OT) → spread bet wins |
| Lakers vs Bucks | Totals 225.0 | 1.92 | Final score includes OT | Total 227 (OT) → over bet wins |
The settlement column makes clear that while the spread follows the final score, the totals can be split between “Regulation only” and “Final includes OT.” This split is common during playoff weeks when bookmakers anticipate higher overtime frequencies.
When you encounter an ambiguous line—such as a “+5.5 (OT excluded)” without a clear description—ask support directly. Their response usually includes the exact rule number, which you can screenshot for personal records. Keeping these confirmations saved helps during dispute processes and strengthens your position if a settlement feels incorrect.
Three verification checkpoints
• Market description wording
• Official rules PDF reference
• Live‑chat confirmation with quote
Treat each market as an independent contract; only by confirming the overtime inclusion can you lock in the correct risk‑to‑reward ratio for your bet.
Professional bettors rarely rely on memory alone. Segregating bets that exclude overtime into a dedicated column of your tracking sheet prevents accidental stake misallocation. The process is simple yet powerful.
First, create a spreadsheet with the following headings:
| Date | League | Fixture | Market | Odds | Stake (PHP) | OT‑Excluded? | Outcome | Profit (PHP) |
|---|
Mark the “OT‑Excluded?” cell with “Yes” for any line that explicitly states “Regulation only.” For example, a PBA totals bet of 186.5 that reads “Regulation total only” would receive a Yes tag, while a NBA spread that includes overtime would have No.
Second, use colour‑coding to visualise risk: green for “No,” orange for “Yes,” and red for lost bets. This visual cue instantly tells you how many of your recent wagers depend on the extra minutes.
Third, automatically calculate adjusted ROI for the OT‑excluded segment. Insert a formula such as:
=SUMIF(G2:G100,"Yes",I2:I100)/SUMIF(G2:G100,"Yes",F2:F100)
The result shows the return‑on‑investment exclusively for those bets that ignore overtime, allowing you to compare it against the overall ROI. If the OT‑excluded ROI is significantly higher, you might choose to focus on markets that exclude overtime during high‑traffic periods, such as Friday night PBA games that historically generate more overtime.
Practical note‑taking tips
• Include the exact wording from the market description.
• Add the PAGCOR licence number (e.g., “License 2023‑PH‑001”) for reference.
• Record the odds change timestamp; many bookmakers adjust lines after a foul or injury, which can affect overtime probability.
Maintaining a clean, separate record of OT‑excluded bets not only clarifies your bankroll management but also supplies concrete data for the next section: adjusting stakes when overtime is counted.
When overtime is factored into the settlement, the probability distribution of the outcome shifts slightly. A game that finishes in regulation typically has a standard deviation of about 10 points, but the inclusion of a 5‑minute extra period can swing the final margin by 2–4 points on average. To protect your bankroll, you should recalculate your stake to reflect this added uncertainty.
Assume you are betting on a PBA point spread of –3.5 at odds 1.85. Your initial stake is PHP 500, based on a 55 % win probability without overtime. If the market includes overtime, historical data suggests the win probability drops to 52 %. Using the Kelly formula:
[
\text{Kelly fraction} = \frac{bp – q}{b}
]
where b = odds – 1 = 0.85, p = 0.52, q = 0.48:
[
\text{Kelly fraction} = \frac{0.85 \times 0.52 – 0.48}{0.85} \approx 0.04
]
A 4 % Kelly stake of a PHP 20,000 bankroll equals PHP 800. Since you originally planned PHP 500, the overtime‑adjusted stake is PHP 800, slightly higher because the odds remain attractive despite the lower win probability.
For an NBA totals over 225.5 at odds 1.92, the base probability might be 57 %. Including overtime reduces it to 53 %. Re‑applying the Kelly calculation yields a stake of PHP 1,040 on the same bankroll.
These adjustments show that overtime does not always mean a smaller stake; it depends on the relative odds and how the bookmaker prices the extra minutes. Always re‑run the Kelly or any staking model after you confirm the overtime policy for the specific market.
Three quick adjustments
- Identify the base win probability from your own model.
- Apply the historical overtime correction factor (≈ –3 %).
- Re‑calculate the stake using Kelly or flat‑percentage methods.
By continuously refining your PHP stakes, you align your exposure with the true risk presented by overtime‑inclusive markets.
A small but financially significant subset of bets is decided exclusively during overtime. Flagging these tickets helps you quantify the impact of extra periods on your overall performance. MostBet offers a “Ticket notes” field where you can type “OT‑Only” after the bet settles.
To flag efficiently, follow this routine:
Once you have accumulated a handful of such tickets, you can generate a custom report. For example, during January 2024, you might retrieve all tickets with the OT‑Only tag and discover the following data:
| Date | League | Fixture | Market | Odds | Stake (PHP) | Profit (PHP) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024‑01‑03 | NBA | Celtics vs. Warriors | Money‑line | 2.10 | 800 | +680 |
| 2024‑01‑07 | PBA | TNT vs. Ginebra | Point spread –2.5 | 1.88 | 600 | –600 |
| 2024‑01‑12 | NBA | Heat vs. Bulls | Over 220.5 | 1.92 | 500 | +460 |
| 2024‑01‑19 | PBA | Magnolia vs. Rain | Totals 188.5 (Regulation only) | 1.95 | 400 | –400 |
| 2024‑01‑24 | NBA | Lakers vs. Knicks | Money‑line | 1.78 | 900 | +702 |
| 2024‑01‑28 | PBA | Meralco vs. NLEX | Point spread +4.0 | 1.85 | 750 | –750 |
| 2024‑01‑30 | NBA | Spurs vs. Raptors | Under 215.0 | 1.90 | 650 | –650 |
From this snapshot, the win‑rate for OT‑Only tickets is 43 %, with an overall ROI of –4 %. These numbers suggest that, at least for this period, overtime‑decided bets were slightly unprofitable, likely due to the higher volatility during extra minutes.
Three reasons to flag OT‑Only tickets
• Identify trends in specific leagues (NBA tends to have more profitable OT outcomes).
• Adjust future stake sizes based on the observed ROI.
• Provide evidence when disputing a settlement that appears inconsistent with the overtime rule.
Keeping a tidy flag system transforms raw betting data into actionable insights, allowing you to make data‑driven decisions about whether to chase or avoid overtime‑heavy markets.
MostBet’s History page is a treasure trove of information for the analytical bettor. By applying the “Custom tags” filter, you can isolate every ticket that involved overtime—whether through the OT‑Only note you added or by selecting the “Overtime” check‑box that appears for games where the final result exceeded regulation time.
After filtering, export the data to CSV and import it into your favourite analysis tool (Excel, Google Sheets, or a Python notebook). Build a summary grid that contrasts the performance of overtime‑included markets against those settled on regulation time. Below is a sample of such a grid, based on All PBA and NBA bets placed between July 2023 and June 2024:
| Season | League | Market Type | OT Included? | Win Rate | ROI (%) | Avg Stake (PHP) | # Bets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023‑24 | PBA | Money‑line | Yes | 51.2 % | –2.8 % | 620 | 428 |
| 2023‑24 | PBA | Point Spread | Yes | 48.9 % | –5.4 % | 580 | 395 |
| 2023‑24 | PBA | Totals | No | 55.6 % | +3.7 % | 540 | 312 |
| 2023‑24 | NBA | Money‑line | Yes | 53.7 % | +1.9 % | 1,150 | 527 |
| 2023‑24 | NBA | Point Spread | Yes | 49.3 % | –1.2 % | 1,020 | 489 |
| 2023‑24 | NBA | Totals | No | 57.1 % | +4.5 % | 980 | 410 |
| 2023‑24 | NBA | Futures (Playoffs) | Yes | 45.0 % | –6.0 % | 2,200 | 85 |
Explanation of the grid
The data reveals a clear pattern: totals that exclude overtime consistently deliver higher ROI across both leagues. Conversely, money‑line and spread markets that include overtime tend to hover around break‑even or dip slightly negative, especially in the PBA where games are more evenly matched.
These insights empower you to prioritise the most profitable market configurations. If you enjoy betting on the NBA, focusing on totals without overtime can boost your overall returns. In the PBA, you might limit exposure to spread bets that include overtime, or apply stricter staking criteria (e.g., only bet when the odds exceed 2.00).
Finally, use the historical export to run regression analyses. By adding variables such as average game pace, team defensive rating, and season‑long injury reports, you can predict the likelihood that a particular contest will go into overtime. Combining that prediction with the ROI data above yields a complete decision engine for your future wagers on MostBet.
Three action steps
- Export and filter your history monthly to keep the data current.
- Update the summary grid with the latest numbers to catch shifting trends.
- Adjust your betting plan based on the ROI differentials between OT‑included and OT‑excluded markets.
Through disciplined analysis of MostBet’s history, you turn overtime from an unpredictable nuisance into a measurable factor in your betting strategy.
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